Thursday, June 21, 2012

NBA Draft - Which Pick has the Most Bang for the Buck?

This list shows which draft picks garner the most All-Star Appearances (ASAs) assuming the pick does in fact end up being an All-Star.  For example, in the 27 years since the Draft Lottery began the #13 pick has had 3 All-Stars.  Now, two of those All-Stars are Kobe Bryant and Karl Malone, who have had 14 ASAs each.  Throw in Dale Davis' 2000 ASA, and the #13 pick has 29 total ASAs.  Discounting the 24 years that the #13 pick didn't result in an All-Star you get 29/3 = 9.67.  So, the times that a team has in fact drafted an All-Star at the #13 pick, they got 9.67 ASAs out of them.  It is sort of a nonsense stat, but it is kind of fun to think about.  When debating how valuable one draft pick is over another, it is nice to know that twice a perennial All-Star and Hall-of-Famer was picked with, say, the 13th pick.  We get this from dividing total number of ASAs from each pick by the total number of All-Stars.  So which picks offer the best bang for the buck?

  1. Pick #13 - 29/3 - 9.67 - Karl Malone (14), Kobe Bryant (14)
  2. Pick # 15 - 8/1 - 8.00 - All from Steve Nash
  3. Pick #1 - 18/107 - 5.94 - Shaq (15)
  4. Pick #5 - 58/10 - 5.80 - Kevin Garnett (14)
  5. Pick #9 - 30/6 - 5.00 - Dirk Nowitzki (11)
  6. Pick #2 - 36/9 - 4.00 - Jason Kidd (10), Gary Payton (9)
  7. Pick #28 - 4/1 - 4.00 - All From Tony Parker
  8. Pick #10 - 23/6 - 3.83 - Paul Pierce (10)
  9. Pick #14 - 11/3 - 3.67 - Tim Hardaway (5)
  10. Pick #4 - 35/10 - 3.50 - Dikembe Mutombo (8), Chris Bosh (7)
  11. Pick #17 - 14/4 - 3.50 - Jermaine O'Neal (6), Shawn Kemp (6)
  12. Pick #8 - 7/2 - 3.50 - Detlef Schrempf (3), Vin Baker (4)
  13. Pick #3 - 38/12 - 3.17 - Grant Hill (7)
  14. Pick #7 - 12/4 - 3.00 - Chris Mullen (5)
  15. Pick #11 - 10/4 - 2.50 - Reggie Miller (5)
  16. Pick #25 - 5/2 - 2.50 - Mark Price (4) (second round pick)
  17. Pick #18 - 11/5 - 2.20 - Joe Dumars (6)
  18. Pick #24 - 8/4 - 2.00 - Latrell Spreewell (4)
  19. Pick #21 - 6/3 - 2.00 - Rajon Rondo (3)
  20. Pick #27 - 2/1 - 2.00 - All from Dennis Rodman (second round pick)
  21. Pick #6 - 10/6 - 1.67 - Antoine Walker (3), Brandon Roy (3)
  22. Pick #20 - 3/2 - 1.50 - Zydrunas Ilgauskas (2)
  23. Pick #16 - 3/3 - 1.00 - Dana Barros, Chris Gatling, Ron Artest
  24. Pick #19 - 2/2 - 1.00 - Jamaal Magloire, Zach Randolph
  25. Pick #12 - 1/1 -1.00 - Mookie Blaylock
  26. Pick #22 - 1/1 - 1.00 - Reggie Lewis
  27. Pick #23 - 1/1 - 1.00 - A.C. Green
  28. Pick #26 - 1/1 - 1.00 - Vlade Divac
  29. Pick #29 - 1/1 - 1.00 - Josh Howard
  30. Pick #30 - 1/1 - 1.00 - David Lee
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